predict our US president on November 3rd

I’d like you to predict who will ultimately be elected our president on November 3rd. Though it may seem like a simple task, I assure you it’s not. Your arguments need to be logical, well-thought-out and based on academic research. Be sure to specifically address the combination of states that the winner will win in order to eclipse the 270 electoral vote threshold.
All papers should be typed, double-spaced and checked for appropriate spelling, grammar, etc. Each paper should be 3-5 full pages long and should not include any abnormal fonts or margins. You MUST appropriately cite all factual material in your papers – failure to do so would constitute plagiarism.